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Post by ntxgamecock on Jan 12, 2022 11:59:51 GMT -6
To me, the dream scenario will be influenced by what may happen in the future bigger picture. Will the P5 break away? Will they take the AAC? Will they take some extra schools, but not a whole conference? If they do, what will happen to the remaining conferences? Do they become the premier NCAA level if the P5’s break and do their own thing? (In other words, do they become the highest NCAA football class while the P5 becomes school affiliated minor league football - in effect, relegating the non P5 back to an irrelevant FCS level again.
Or, as is my dream scenario, do they all combine into one big collegiate football organization of 132-144 schools divided into 11-12 twelve-team, two division conferences? Somewhat like this (https://www.si.com/college/oklahoma/football/what-might-an-ideal-realignment-look-like), but not necessarily tied to traditions as much as geography. (Note that this was done before the THREE FCS teams moved up, so either one would have to be relegated or 11 more would need to be promoted. I had a plan before any moved up that would have involved just 80 schools in eight 10-team pods. Obviously several schools would be relegated including now Jax St.). This would completely do away with bowls in favor of a playoff tournament. In this article, Jax St would most likely end up in this theoretical Sun Belt with USA and troy st. in some form or fashion. If I realigned geographically, we’d probably end up in a pod with either Alabama, Auburn, or Georgia Tech and probably with UAB, Ga St., and UTC/KSU.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 12, 2022 12:57:28 GMT -6
The G5 is already irrelevant. You have to be in the SEC, Big Ten, Big 12, USC, Notre Dame, or Clemson to realistically compete for a title. Nobody has any idea that SDSU and UTSA had stellar seasons outside of football diehards and fans of those teams.
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Post by Whup Em All on Jan 12, 2022 16:09:06 GMT -6
This would completely do away with bowls in favor of a playoff tournament. And that sentence right there is why nothing else you suggested would ever come to pass. (I don't like it anymore than you. It's just the way college football appears to work.) I'm not 100% sold on the idea that the P5 will break off. Sure, on the surface, it looks like the SEC would support such a move, and the other P5s would be desperate to follow, but honestly, the current structure works great for the SEC. They're making money hand over fist. They win 9/10 playoffs, regardless of how many teams are entered. They're just in a good spot. So while they're expanding, that expansion is centered around locking in both their on-field dominance and their TV money. (People often throw around "markets" when discussing G5 and FCS realignment. But at the end of the day, the SEC controls Alabama, Georgia, Florida, South Carolina, Tennessee, Louisiana, Kentucky, Mississippi, Arkansas, Missouri, and soon, Texas and Oklahoma. THAT is market dominance. Especially when you consider how many of those states are either college football or college basketball strongholds.) My point isn't to glorify the SEC. It's to point out why the status quo is working great for them. Post-expansion, maybe they'll have OOC games to offer lowly non-P5s. Maybe they won't. But I'm certain they will. No one wants to go through 12 games of hell just to qualify for a bowl game. They'll want a break for homecoming. They'll want a "tune-up game" somewhere early in the season. That's two likely G5 games right off the bat. No one in the SEC wants to play a Big 10 or ACC opponent for those kinds of games. They want the G5. They NEED the G5. I do see the other P5 leagues eventually expanding to 14-16 members, due to TV money and pressure from bowl tie-ins. The big impact on G5 conferences (other than some minor realignment shifts due to said expansion) will come from how CFP and NCAA Tourney money and TV revenue is reapportioned to everyone outside the P5. If there's no real money to be gained by expanding past 10 teams, then CUSA will hold at 10. Heck, if the money's right, they'll hold at 9. But if it becomes financially worth it for G5s to expand to 12 or 14 teams, then CUSA (and others) will absolutely do it, thus triggering Armageddon 2.0, and a whole lot of fun on sports discussion boards. |
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Post by Cleburneslim on Jan 12, 2022 20:55:57 GMT -6
I think the split will or must occur. With the Wild West of ncaa ahead of us all. no g5 school will even come close to competing. I believe the G5 will seek out their own playoff and own unifying rules eventually, so that there will be a level field to compete on and a fair shot at a championship.
The p5 is on a collision course to become semi pro football. The G5 will separate ifor the opportunity to become something people want to watch. It may be some hybrid type separation allowing for interplay between the two but having a separate championship. But a split must happen.
Truthfully there is already a recognized division between the haves and have nots. Which will begin to grow exponentially due to the new norm of lawlessness.
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Post by ntxgamecock on Jan 12, 2022 22:21:57 GMT -6
I can’t argue with either of the above. Just too much up in the air right now. All the more reason that I’m glad we made the jump when we did.
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